Broker's Blog

Finding Opportunity in Changing Times
August 14th, 2008 11:50 PM

“If we don’t change direction soon, we’ll end up where we’re going.” This quip by Prof Irwin Corey, an American vaudeville comic and actor, seems to mirror the mindset of many government agencies dealing with the regulation and facilitation of the housing and finance industries. Change is the name of the game, today, and some say it’s barely half-time.

Congress passed, and the president signed into law, HR 3221 (the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008) at the end of July. This law has many provisions and it’s not my intention to discuss them all. Here’s a highlight of some of the changes…

  • Registration / Licensure of all originators: This provision requires all originators to be licensed/registered with the National Mortgage Licensing System and Registry (except Federally Chartered Institutions). Although this will be a logistical nightmare for some in the industry, it should help “clean up” the industry.
  • Tax Credit for First Time Homebuyers: This provision allows for any first time homebuyer who purchases/purchased between the dates of April 9, 2008 and July 1, 2009 (it’s in effect now) receive a $7,500 tax credit for the year in which they bought their home. This is a tax credit and not a tax deduction and is paid back to the IRS over the next 15 years (or sooner if the property becomes a rental home). There is no interest charged on the tax credit funds which are repaid. As always, there are some exceptions. I am not a CPA, but I was told on an industry conference call that this will not affect alternative minimum taxation and phases out above $150,000 combined, married annual income. I would imagine there are other implications, so check with your tax advisor to find out how it would affect you, specifically. Either way, an interest free loan from the IRS doesn’t happen every day!
  • Conventional Loan Limits Increased: The formula for determining loan limits in high cost areas was adjusted, but it shouldn’t affect us here in TX.
  • Fannie/Freddie Oversight: This provision establishes a new federal regulator with powers similar to a Federal Bank regulator to oversee the activities of Fannie and Freddie. The funding source for this regulator and the associated funds is being paid for by an additional 4.2 basis point fee added to loan interest rates.
  • Fannie/Freddie Stability: This provision authorizes the Secretary of the Treasury to extend lines of credit and to, if necessary, purchase equity in Fannie or Freddie to ensure solvency and calm the credit markets.
  • FHA Rescue/Hope Now: These two programs are designed, in different ways, to help those experiencing serious delinquency or feeling a serious house payment crunch. The exact details of how the plans will be administered (and the details of the plan itself) have not yet been ironed out. More to follow when it’s known.
  • FHA Modernization: Ok, here’s the biggie. As of the end of September, FHA will no longer insure loans which involve Seller Funded Down Payment Assistance (SFDPA). This doesn’t sound like such a big deal until you consider that over 1/3rd of First Time Homebuyers who use FHA for financing utilize SFDPA, because if they can’t pay the entire down-payment themselves, get a gift from a blood relative, receive Down payment Assistance from a community or grant based program (will be used up quickly), receive the money from their employer, or borrow the money out of their retirement, that’s the only option left. So, in order to buy a home with little to no money down after the end of September, borrowers will have to be VA eligible, find and qualify for community grant money, have such high credit scores and reserves that they can qualify for one of the very few and far between portfolio zero down home loans, or have an employer or relative willing to GIVE them the down payment. As if that doesn’t tighten up things, enough, they are increasing the minimum down payment requirement from 3-3.5%, while also raising upfront and monthly mortgage insurance payments. I can understand needing to change some of the requirements for SFDPA or providing a 1-2% down program which requires a stronger credit profile, but HUD insists that if these changes aren’t made, then they will have to be supplemented by taxpayers to the tune of $1.4 billion in 2009.

HUD also sites that loans with SFDPA suffer almost 3 times the delinquency rates as traditional FHA loans. I’m not sure what the best answer is, but I do know that for millions of Americans who have the ability to reliably make a house payment and be responsible home owners, if they do not close on a FHA loan by the end of September, they will no longer be able to purchase a home without a sizeable down-payment, thus taking them out of the housing market until their savings or industry changes allow them to purchase. These loans are not inherently bad. Proper budgeting and planning before the purchase of a home and working with a mortgage professional who desires to see you in a good position go along way to ensuring a happy homeownership experience.

It’s a buyer’s market, San Antonio (and most of Texas) have seen stable real-estate markets (albeit a little slower), the IRS is offering $7,500 interest free “loans”, you can still utilize SFDPA and move in with little to no money down up to $332,500, and all this while rates are historically low. Although no one can predict the future, it would seem that the rest of August and September would be an excellent opportunity for FHA buyers (especially first time homebuyers) to realize the American dream and become homeowners before the process becomes even more difficult.

So change is still (and will continue to be) the name of the game. The upside is that with change comes opportunity. Ramsay Clark once said, “Turbulence is life force. It is opportunity. Let’s love turbulence and use it for change.” I think he’s got something there.


Posted by Marshall Moody on August 14th, 2008 11:50 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Chicken Little needs to look at the Big Picture
August 21st, 2008 9:37 PM

It seems like I can't ever get through a day anymore where the news, my clients, my referral sources, friends, family or all of the above isn't commenting, ok complaining, about the state of the housing market, the economy, foreign policy, the Fed, the presidential candidates, etc.  Is it just me, or does there seem to be an attitude of impending doom which is running through our society, and more specifically, our industry?  I admit, times aren't the greatest and I have done my share of whining, but is the sky really falling?

Perhaps the desire for immediate gratification has skewed our thinking and lead too many folks to focus on the short term challenges and to not look through the eyes of history at the bigger picture. 

I had the privilege of going to a benefits meeting attended by 100 or so American Veterans in beautiful Bandera, yesterday evening, at the invitation of Mary Jo Schaffer (a fellow activerain blogger).  It was a great experience...this is why.  Yesterday had more than it's share of uptight conversations and fretting emails and I was letting it start to get to me.  My phone was ringing all the way to Bandera and only a couple of the calls actually had to do with closing deals, most were folks bemoning the current state of affairs.  As I was entering Bandera, I got off the phone to find my way and quickly realized that even though I'm in the country more than most (our main office is in Boerne), I wasn't taking the time to enjoy it!  So I took  a deep breath, found the Silver Sage Corral Events Center, and walked in, not exactly sure what to expect.  What I found was a group of brave souls who risked everything on many occasions to allow us to live in this great country.  A few of the WW2 vets reminded me of my grandfather who was in the war himself and lived through the great depression.  A flood of stories he has told me over the years of his experiences in the depression and in the war ran through my mind.  I was immediatly embarassed of my own recent tendency to focus on the glass as half empty and to not be regularly counting my blessings.  On the way back to San Antonio I tried to take a step back and look at our current situation form a broader perspective...

In the majority of housing markets in Texas, home values have not declined and, in fact, a good number show appreciation, albeit not at the rates we had become accustomed to.  It is true that, in general, properties are staying on the market for longer periods of time, but the excess builder inventory is being sold off and construction costs are climbing, so it only follows that more demand will move to the resale market in the near future.  This will help move-up buyers/borrowers sell their existing properties and purchase new (or new to them) homes....OK, I can hear it form here, if FHA is tightening up, then how are first time home-buyers going to purchase homes?  The answer is simple, the same way they did for years prior to the seller funded down payment assistance (SFDPA) craze, including gifts from blood relatives, employers, 401k loans, community down payment assistance programs, and saving up some money.  I also wouldn't entirely rule out the return of lower down payment options for those with stronger credit profiles...we still offer a conventional 103% loan in certain geographical areas.  Even considering all of the lending standard changes, if we are currently experiencing the worst housing market since the great depression, then comparitively, I think we're doing pretty well (at least here in Texas, I know the scenario changes dramatically in other parts of the country).  Here's another thought, when my mom and dad bought their first house interest rates were in the double digits, not anywhere near the historically low rates we have experienced for quite awhile.  It seems like inflation is already here and may very well get worse before it gets better, so why not buy when rates are low and let time settle out the rest?   

So , the next time chicken little comes knocking on your door (or blowing up your phone), remind him that, in the big picture, things really aren't that bad and life's too short for all that drama...

Thanks again for the invite, Mary Jo, it was time very well spent.


Posted by Marshall Moody on August 21st, 2008 9:37 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Texas Veterans Land Board drops Service Era Discount but it's still the Best Deal Around
August 15th, 2008 7:39 PM

Today is a sad day for those of us who have made Tex Vet Loans a regular part of our program offerings.  The Texas Veteran's Land Board has ended the rate discounts which were available on 15 year terms and for "service era" veterans (served during the Vietnam War and have been retired/discharged less than 30 yrs).  Up until now there was no lower interest rate on a fixed term than a Texas Veterans subsidized loan to a "service era" veteran.  The rates on these loans were almost always in the 4 percent range. 

But the news isn't all bad.  Texas Veteran's Land Board still has below market base rates, still has a rate reduction for veteran's with a service connected disability rating of 50% or higher, and VA still waives the funding fee for diabled veterans.  Also, it is strongly rumored that in lieu of the "service era" discount, TX VET Land Board will lower the base rate significantly.  This would help a much larger number of veterans, since the number of eligible "service era" veterans decreases significantly each year (mostly due to the <= 30 yrs since retirement/discharge requirement).  TX Vet Land Board publishes the TX Veterans Housing Assistance rates (www.texasveterans.com, then "housing assistance", then "interest rates") every Friday at approximately 5pm (officially it's at the beginning of the first business day of the week).  I'll post again, once we know what the policy rate change is going to be.

This program is still a fantastic benefit which Texas provides for our veterans, and I am unaware of any program like it in any other state.  For almost all qualified veterans, the deal still doesn't get much better than what Texas Vet Financing affords to our TX Veterans.

If you are a Texas Veteran or know someone who is and could benefit from a below market rate loan for the purchase of a home, please call Marshall @ 210-274-3037 for more information.

 

 


Posted by Marshall Moody on August 15th, 2008 7:39 PMPost a Comment (0)

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